About Page
ABOUT US
Whether or not we realise, weather dictates our whole lives. Just imagine
having more information about what was coming, and being able to better
plan for crops, sports or wedding events, trips, commercial projects,
roading contracts, aviation and public safety.
The
best way to predict the future is by looking at the past. Our method
looks at trends and cycles of moon orbits. Accurate future knowledge
about weather in your business plan gives you the edge, both for your
own purposes and in the competitive marketplace. Imagine how much could
be saved by cancelling or postponing events before it rained and
perhaps by putting on more staff if you knew beforehand that the
weather was going to be fine. Much more could be made by a larger
turnout to a festival, gala or market day and much could be saved by
avoiding thunderstorms or snowfall times.
People
tend to shop in cycles. Shoppers favour reasonably fine days. They may
not shop as frequently when it is really wet or really dry, because it
might be better either staying home or taking kids to the beach. Some
say shoppers make large purchases on the waxng moon (coming up to full
moon) because they become more impulsive. It is said to be the time to
sell a house but not to buy one. Because of frosts, full moon is the
time when investment in coffee futures sharply increases. Milk
production peaks over the full moon period. There is more moisture in
the soil before full moon. Grass and wool grow quicker when cut on a
waxing moon. Fruit picked around new moon has a longer shelf-life.
There are host of other examples.
In
NZ, winter cold is big business with our winter sports and tourism. It
is also ominous for hospital boards because of flu increase. Summer
heat is lucrative for resorts, retail chains (especially pre-Xmas), and
beverage sales. The Xmas period of 2006/7 was disastrous for NZ retail
chains who had stocked up with summer clothing, because a rainy and
cold December brought to a near halt the buying of Xmas clothing gifts.
There
are cycles with peaks and troughs in every sphere of commercial
activity, and it may be said that they equate to the lunar cycles. This
may be because the economy of a small country rests heavily on
agriculture, agriculture relies on weather and cycles of the weather
follow a lunar pattern. It is no coincidence that house sales, total
net migration, world commodity prices, domestic inflation, GDP growth,
90-day interest rates, and exchange rate deviations all peaked in
2006/7, the last year of maximum declination of the moon, and the
previous peak was 1996, the year of mirror-opposite declination.
Who
Predict Weather offers services at affordable rates to councils and corporates,
down to weather for a family reunion or a single forecast for a couple
organising a wedding. Customised reports tailored to individual needs
are increasingly becoming a large focus. We can supply a written report
for any period ahead, for anywhere in the world. We can add graphs of
rainfall patterns, sunshine amounts and temperature trends, for all
Australia and NZ locations. The length of time is entirely up to the
client - the moon method of forecasting is not bound by time
constraints or satellite technology. It is just as easy to forecast for
one day or one year - it just takes shorter or longer time to look up
and cross-check.
Some of Australia and NZ's biggest retail chains have used our services, as well as power companies, farm consultancies, and event organisers. We regularly are asked to address conferences by
regional branches of Federated Farmers, and the orchard, wine, bee,
contractor, concrete and turf industries. We have many small businesses
in our client base, many farming-based and each weather-related, and
the needs of all are the same although for different reasons. Most want
to know, is it going to rain? When will the frosts hit the area?
Ski operators are also important clientele. Future knowledge of when snow
and cold snaps will arrive indicates when to deploy staff, when to
pre-advertise, when to lay off mainetnance personnel and when to have
emergency services close at hand. Days of mountain closure are zero
income times. Ski operators who employ us are in management at
Whakapapa, Turoa, Treble Cone, and Coronet in NZ, and Mt
Buller in Australia.
What
Forecast reports are for any specified time period ahead, and any named location
in the following countries; NZ, Australia, Ireland, USA, Japan and
Italy. We are adding countries of application as historical database
information becomes available. The concept of longrange forecasting may
seem unfamiliar and less than possible at first hearing, but that could
be because there has been a lack of longrange capability of western
metservices since the 1850s. Despite claims to the contrary with regard
to climate scientists preaching about imminent climate change, the
science of classical meteorology has not progressed in 150 years, and
whilst same-day predictions may be excellent and well-supported by
state-of-art satellite technology, predictions more than 1 or 2 days
ahead by forecasters cannot be relied on. For the longer outlook, one
can liken our work in longrange weather projection to local tidetables
which cover a year ahead or longer and have long been purchaseable in
advance from institutions supporting maritime activity. Our longrange
weather reports are simply tidetables of the atmosphere.
The
science is based around the concept of risng and ebbing in the daily
tide of the air. By such daily vertical motion, well documented by
weather balloon behaviour, changes in air-height result in changes in
temperature and thereby a daily variation in water vapour amounts and
densities. This manifests in more or less sunshine heat and amount,
rain, wind and snow being able to form and reach ground.
By
applying cycles to historical weather data that match tide cycles we
believe we can produce useful indications of what weather will arive
and when for any locality, and so warn about extreme weather that may
disrupt planned events. The method is as scientific as the science of
ocean tides and just as accurate. Why it is embraced in eastern
countries but not in the west mirrors the struggle Chinese medicine has
had to gain acceptance, which has more to do with politics and religion
than efficacy.
Our
readouts comprise a week (minimum), a month, three months, six months,
a year or longer. The listing includes daily information on rain,
sun/cloud, temperatures and wind information where such data in
historical databanks is available. The range of these forecasts is a
radius of 50-60 miles (80-100km). This is also the range of acceptable
error. As weather forecasting is not an exact science, potential for
errors are always borne in mind. Allow up to 2-days either side of a
daily prediction. Treat figures as trends rather than literal amounts.
Small readings e.g. 1-2mm can mean dew, frost, mist, fog, drizzle,
haze, or odd showers. Readings are of potential for weather events on
days, for example in the case of the naming of rain what eventuates may
just be the gathering together of cloud.
That
aside, trends are discernible and worth the cost of the exercise. By
way of comparison upon careful examination it will be found that tide
tables are also less than absolutely precise because many factors
affect tide height like moon phase, declination angle, speed and
proximity, wind direction, atmospheric pressure, and close-by
underwater earthquakes and emissions. But tide charts and tables can
provide a guide about tidal movements that is better than nothing when
planning some sea-based activity. The advantages of accessing this
information can also provide competitive advantage during an overall
season.
Knowing When
Comissioning
one of our forecast products may pay for itself many times over,
through savings or minimising loss that can come from knowledge of
advanced weather.
a)
A report can enable the buying of necessary stock, stores and equipment
well beforehand, when demand and therefore costs are lower, rather than
waiting until the season is well underway when costs may be inflated.
For example dry and cut ti-tree firewood is usually reserved by
firewood merchants for restaurants after February, and is cheaper in
January. If March turns cold the costs for this slow burning denser
wood spiral upward with demand. Buying in January presents a savings in
heating costs throughout a cold season to come.
b)
A report can faciliate prebooking and arrangement of advertising, with
prior knowledge of when weather-related events are going to occur, so
ads may appear when the timing is the most profitable. If rain is due
in a changeable fortnight preceding a sunny event-weekend, ads could
appear on dry days to ensure best attendance.
c)
A report can enable the contracting and timetabling of such staff as
will be needed, and the deployment of road-clearing crews, to be
on-hand only when needed.
d)
A report can minimise risks due to accidents or incidents that may be
weather-related, due to parking or footpath/road access.
e)
A report may necessitate the rescheduling of an event to a more
appropriate day, so minimising losses incurred if road access may be
closed, visibility too poor or extreme temperatures disrupt maintenance
crews.
f) A report can save on marquee hire if not needed, and/or insurance purchased in the event that weather ruins an investment.
f) A report can save on marquee hire if not needed, and/or insurance purchased in the event that weather ruins an investment.
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